Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 969.775296 1091.657398 1224.425745 1380.030206 1557.702112 1754.591880 1989.785875
2026-01-25 793.392147 961.666861 1160.431840 1413.588549 1728.944309 2110.770437 2611.018294
2026-02-01 691.510776 881.369483 1118.395324 1438.199344 1861.696214 2407.817528 3172.717287
2026-02-08 616.262213 817.696571 1080.625180 1452.391417 1970.025769 2673.341782 3715.141366
2026-02-15 559.237437 767.965401 1051.019655 1467.789135 2074.031173 2936.469823 4279.135688
2026-02-22 517.449286 732.669467 1034.668355 1495.863435 2193.897687 3229.541436 4917.623096
2026-03-01 464.975112 675.863375 980.598652 1460.902162 2213.424730 3371.812408 5338.184340
2026-03-08 417.683763 621.536644 923.967398 1414.418040 2207.329305 3469.656476 5694.006156
2026-03-15 377.191477 573.447062 871.718936 1368.289989 2194.759759 3552.390978 6029.929403
2026-03-22 361.739630 562.363436 875.048333 1410.141724 2328.417173 3887.794616 6841.859240
2026-03-29 342.943430 544.121347 864.984506 1428.163765 2422.410676 4163.788079 7580.172774
2026-04-05 323.894390 523.728889 849.373007 1434.665423 2495.861256 4409.612108 8291.394907
2026-04-12 305.498843 503.347022 832.709811 1438.863978 2567.638677 4664.078167 9062.529192
2026-04-19 293.915494 493.586517 833.286087 1473.781668 2699.699169 5046.854783 10147.343675
2026-04-26 281.855822 481.911838 829.319480 1499.555060 2816.377638 5412.058229 11246.766713
2026-05-03 269.177766 468.067692 820.186419 1514.415816 2912.676892 5746.554815 12327.174291
2026-05-10 257.739241 455.518496 812.257419 1530.539897 3012.624140 6099.097992 13499.090907
2026-05-17 248.966729 447.145848 811.273350 1559.940592 3142.485668 6529.330244 14916.067158
2026-05-24 232.511728 423.194513 778.966675 1523.327943 3128.889762 6644.680531 15591.627028
2026-05-31 215.985822 397.973168 742.366075 1474.654559 3084.113421 6684.614467 16084.577619
2026-06-07 200.835091 374.413260 707.364950 1426.361417 3035.363217 6709.810264 16543.501766
2026-06-14 196.989569 372.672249 715.432659 1470.177214 3198.133142 7248.863608 18437.872060
2026-06-21 190.684122 365.592933 712.169097 1489.046897 3305.319864 7667.123359 20074.088139